Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 8.271281 9.453916 10.757562 12.303149 14.088150 16.087932 18.502411
2025-08-31 6.509749 8.003161 9.781166 12.061134 14.917509 18.391085 22.955895
2025-09-07 5.774012 7.480853 9.629213 12.546249 16.426139 21.440349 28.461853
2025-09-14 5.130824 6.935352 9.311472 12.692027 17.415161 23.834320 33.312245
2025-09-21 4.579059 6.417779 8.934323 12.661734 18.096290 25.813630 37.750521
2025-09-28 4.100993 5.934026 8.529868 12.514586 18.549425 27.462927 41.840163
2025-10-05 3.861781 5.757719 8.530234 12.932339 19.844367 30.443709 48.241514
2025-10-12 3.632501 5.566562 8.479467 13.250870 20.997551 33.298768 54.745888
2025-10-19 3.464556 5.448252 8.520248 13.703098 22.389895 36.651756 62.431672
2025-10-26 3.146066 5.060450 8.098246 13.358175 22.425100 37.757091 66.375954
2025-11-02 2.900796 4.767578 7.799627 13.181908 22.713648 39.297589 71.232356
2025-11-09 2.689466 4.511452 7.536885 13.036241 23.029798 40.898782 76.354905
2025-11-16 2.485056 4.252867 7.252749 12.834478 23.239559 42.355057 81.432901
2025-11-23 2.293086 3.999712 6.956213 12.581224 23.326025 43.585828 86.211576
2025-11-30 2.236923 3.981314 7.070312 13.088739 24.888956 47.768346 97.420117
2025-12-07 2.133206 3.867518 7.001098 13.241259 25.774235 50.709862 106.403841
2025-12-14 2.013458 3.714032 6.845109 13.209565 26.285188 52.942659 114.129291
2025-12-21 1.888559 3.540826 6.637553 13.055611 26.527953 54.638914 120.864786
2025-12-28 1.845235 3.520419 6.720521 13.492699 28.041614 59.169702 134.605300
2026-01-04 1.792046 3.476213 6.752560 13.826001 29.363877 63.420058 148.235959
2026-01-11 1.756740 3.464561 6.847759 14.299242 31.036560 68.622759 164.844667
2026-01-18 1.638062 3.274992 6.566834 13.938287 30.805788 69.458791 170.719703
2026-01-25 1.545781 3.133233 6.374158 13.753838 30.959450 71.203504 179.130270